Nick Galanti (7-1) vs Carlos Petruzzella (15-1)
Galanti doesn’t hide his game plan. He’ll shoot doubles and get you down with ease, then soften you up with effective ground and pound until he can attempt a submission. Petruzzella is a flashy striker who presses forward with heavy pressure, mixing in kicks to the legs, body, and head. He’s very hittable but durable, though that durability shouldn’t matter much since Galanti won’t let this fight stay standing for long.
Lean: Galanti by submission/decision double chance
Ron Humphrey (4-0) vs Alexis Miranda (9-2)
Alexis Miranda is a self-described striker who doesn’t excel at anything in particular, throwing telegraphed punches with nothing setting them up or following behind them. Ron Humphrey is the opposite, a true athlete with powerful striking who stays in your face and mixes in takedowns well.
Lean: Ron Humphrey by knockout round 1
Gary Balletto Jr. (11-3) vs Sean Clancy Jr. (8-0)
Balletto has been finished by first-round knockout twice against current UFC fighters Billy Ray Goff and Jeremiah Wells, and his submission wins have come against the lowest levels of competition, including former UFC fighter Daniel Frunza. His grappling comes from raw power rather than technique.
Queue the glazing factory comments: Sean Clancy Jr, on the other hand, looks like a future star. Undefeated as a pro with 5 knockouts and 3 submissions spread across all three rounds, he’s shown conditioning isn’t a concern. He controls range well, and if he doesn’t like what he sees on the feet, he’ll take you down and immediately work for position before sinking in a submission.
Lean: Clancy Jr by Round 1 submission.
Mario Piazzon (12-1) vs Guilherme Uriel (7-2)
Piazzon is a Brazilian heavyweight who has built his record against the softer end of the Brazilian heavyweight scene. He plods without urgency, and if backed against the fence, he’s content to sit in the clinch and coast. His wins tend to come from opponents gassing, at which point he takes them down and works mild ground and pound until the referee steps in.
His opponent, returning Contender Series fighter and LFA veteran Guilherme Uriel, lost to Josh Hokit last season by strikes in the second round, a loss that has aged well in hindsight. Uriel pushes pressure right off the rip, mixing powerful leg kicks with high-volume hooks. There is no technique with this guy either, just kill or be killed.
Lean: Uriel is the only reasonable moneyline bet (maybe with Galanti) on the card, and even that is terrifying.
Bella Mir (4-0) vs Alex Apodaca (3-1): Main Event
Bella Mir, daughter of UFC Hall of Famer Frank Mir, continues to show that her reputation for work ethic and focus is backed by real substance. She’s still developing on the feet and will likely stick to a couple of 1 twos before shooting for the takedown, and from there the fight goes however she wants it to go.
Apodaca is durable and well-rounded but not dangerous anywhere. Fighting out of Tiger Beetle in Denver, her only loss came by decision in her pro debut. She won’t find success in the grappling exchanges, and she doesn’t throw with enough speed or power to threaten a finish of her own.
Lean: Bella Mir Round 1 TKO/KO (hear me out below)
My Bets:
Bella Mir by TKO/KO = + 320 ( .25u ) (It’s Contender Series, everyone knows she can submit people, this is a coming out party so why wouldn’t she just rain elbows and punches from mount to get a ref stoppage)
Ronald Humphrey Round 1 TKO/KO + Clancy Jr. / Balletto Jr. Under 1.5 Rounds = -103 ( 3u )
Nick Galanti by Sub/Dec + Sean Clancy Jr. by Submission + 667 ( .25u )
Ronald Humphrey Round 1 KO/TKO + Clancy Jr. / Balletto Jr. Under 1.5 Rounds + Piazzon / Uriel Fight Ends KO/TKO + Mir / Apodaca Fight Does NOT Go The Distance = +200 ( .5u )
LET’S FEAST!
